Gunnar Nelson vs. Kevin Holland is a duel between one of the finest grapplers (Nelson) and one of the best strikers (Holland) in the UFC Welterweight Division. Which fighting style will prevail on March 22?
Gunnar Nelson vs. Kevin Holland Odds
| Moneyline | Odds |
|---|---|
| Gunnar Nelson | -140 |
| Kevin Holland | +120 |
When, Where, and How to Watch?
- Place: The O2 Arena in London, England
- Date: Saturday, March 22, 2025
- Time: 4:00 p.m. ET
- How to Watch: ESPN+
UFC London Odds Favor Gunnar Nelson
Gunnar Nelson is coming to The O2 Arena as a betting favorite with UFC London odds of -140. He’s 19-5-1 with 13 wins by submission.
That’s no surprise given that he’s a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu under Renzo Gracie. He’s a two-time Pan American champion in No-Gi BJJ.
The trouble is that he’s not a very good striker, at least not for UFC standards. Despite being a 3rd-degree black belt in karate, he gets hit quite a lot – 3.00 times per minute on average – while landing 1.84 strikes.
He’s been in the UFC since 2012 and has faced some elite strikers. Unfortunately for the Icelandic fighter, in most of those fights, he ended up as the loser. This happened against Leon Edwards, Santiago Ponzinibbio, Rick Story, and others. Will it happen against Kevin Holland as well?
Can Kevin Holland End His Losing Streak?
The main reason why Kevin Holland is seen as the underdog in this fight, with UFC London odds of +120 is that he’s coming to the UK after back-to-back losses. In fact, he’s 1-4 in his last five fights.
In his most recent fight – against Reinier de Ridder in January 2025 – he lost by submission in the first round.
The reason why this fight is important is not just that it happened only two months ago. It’s also because he lost to a grappling maestro, whose BJJ skills are similar to those of his UFC London opponent.
Gunnar Nelson vs. Kevin Holland Prediction
Reinier de Ridder has revealed the blueprint to defeating Kevin Holland. Gunnar Nelson just needs to get close to him and aim for a submission finish. Will he pull it off? We think he will. After all, he’s done it many times before.
Pick: Gunnar Nelson