The Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills AFC Divisional game is going to be the first time this season that the defending champions aren’t seen as betting favorites. The Chiefs are coming to Orchard Park as 2.5-point underdogs.
If you’re wondering what’s the reason for this, there are several, starting with the fact that the Bills have been tremendous at home. However, one should keep in mind that the Chiefs won each of their last three games with the Bills on the road.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills 2024 NFL Playoffs Odds
| Spread | Odds |
|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs +2.5 | -110 |
| Buffalo Bills -2.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Odds |
|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | +125 |
| Buffalo Bills | -145 |
| Points Total | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 45.5 | -115 |
| Under 45.5 | -105 |
When, Where, and How to Watch?
- Place: Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York
- Date: Sunday, January 21, 2024
- Time: 6:30 p.m. ET
- How to Watch: CBC
The Chiefs are Coming to NY State for a Win
The Kansas City Chiefs are the defending NFL champions, who finished the regular season with an 11-6 record. They did win the AFC West, but it was their worst record since 2017, which was Patrick Mahomes’s rookie season.
The 2023 regular season wasn’t his best campaign, but we did see Mahomes improve some areas of his game. For instance, even though he made just 4,183 passing yards – his worst number since 2019 – he did improve his precision, recording a 67.2 completion percentage.
His completion percentage wasn’t great in the first game of the postseason. Mahomes went 23-for-41 (56.1% completion), but he did throw for one touchdown and no interceptions. That was enough for his team to beat the Miami Dolphins 26-7 on a very cold night at Arrowhead.
Now, Mahomes and the Chiefs are coming to New York State, where they’ve got some really nice memories. In fact, they won each of their last three duels with the Bills at Highmark Stadium. This includes the one played in 2020 which was the first time Mahomes played against Buffalo. The final score in that game was 26-17 for the visitors. Can they do something similar again?
Is It Time for the Bills to Take That Big Leap Forward?
The Buffalo Bills have never won the Super Bowl, but they came very close on several occasions. Their fans sure hope that can change in 2024.
The Bills have had a fantastic roster for a while now, the evidence being that they’ve reached the postseason in each of their last four seasons. With Sean McDermott as their coach, they reached the AFC Divisional Round on three occasions in the past, and they even reached the AFC Championship once only to lose to the Chiefs.
In their 2024 Playoff duel, they’re seen as betting favorites. The reason isn’t just that the Chiefs haven’t been too impressive this season; it’s also because the Bills have been playing great football, especially at home.
They went 11-6 in the regular season, winning the AFC East along the way. What’s interesting is that their home record was 7-2. Then, in the Wild Card Round, they destroyed the Pittsburgh Steelers 31-17 at home.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills Prediction
It’s all about Patrick Mahomes. This guy goes into a killer mode in the playoffs, putting on his best performances when under pressure. At least, that was the case in the past. In his first playoff game of 2024, he didn’t impress much against the Dolphins. And now, he’s supposed to play against the NFL’s 4th-best defense. Will he throw for more than one TD?
We think he might, but we’re not sure that’s going to be enough for his team. The Bills are hungry for success, and we think they’re gonna go all-in on Sunday to grab a win.
Pick: Buffalo Bills