Next Pope Odds, Time, and Prediction

Next Pope odds are out, with cardinals Pietro Parolin and Luis Tagle being the two most serious candidates, priced at +215 and +225, respectively.

In addition to those two, there are literally dozens of other cardinals who could land this job, but their odds aren’t as short as the odds for the two aforementioned candidates for the Vatican throne.

Next Pope Odds

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When and Where?

• Place: Vatican City
• Date: May 6 – May 12, 2025

Pietro Parolin vs. Luis Tagle: Close Race for Papacy

As speculation builds around the next papal election, two names continue to dominate the betting boards – Pietro Parolin and Luis Antonio Tagle.

Pietro Parolin, currently serving as the Vatican’s Secretary of State, brings unmatched experience to the table. With over 30 years in the Holy See’s diplomatic corps, he’s been stationed in global hotspots like the United States, Nigeria, Mexico, and Venezuela.

He’s fluent in multiple languages, including English, Spanish, French, and Italian, which is something that could play well on the world stage. With odds of +215, he’s the top frontrunner to take over the papacy.

His main rival for the biggest job in the Christian world is Luis Tagle. Known affectionately as “Chito,” Tagle is a cardinal from the Philippines, who’s considered one of the most progressive cardinals today. That could actually be a major problem.

The thing is that Tagle’s progressive stances on LGBTQ rights and support for divorced Catholics are a sharp contrast to the traditionalist views still dominant within the conclave.

Other Papacy Candidates Worth Noting

Cardinal Matteo Zuppi is no stranger to high-ranking Church affairs. As the current Archbishop of Bologna and President of the Italian Episcopal Conference, his influence within the Catholic hierarchy runs deep.

He’s also served as Auxiliary Bishop of Rome and was handpicked by Pope Francis to join the College of Cardinals, which is a clear sign that he’s earned the respect of the current pontiff.

On the other hand, Seán Patrick O’Malley represents a different vision for the future of the Church. The former Archbishop of Boston is a known conservative, who’s been a Cardinal since 2006, thanks to Pope Benedict XVI.

His legacy is defined by action in the wake of scandals. After taking over the Boston Archdiocese post-Bernard Law, he became a leading force in addressing abuse within the Church.

Next Pope Prediction

Cardinal Pietro Parolin looks like the safest bet right now. His combination of Vatican experience, international diplomacy, and language fluency puts him in a strong position.

If the cardinals seek continuity with Francis’ policies – which we think they do – the current Vatican Secretary of State looks like the man for the job.

Pick: Pietro Parolin